I'm glad I have the Mor Spirit bet in as insurance, but after a review of all the Derby data available up until now, I think the horse who is going to run huge and is sitting on an explosive pattern is Brody's Cause.

Brody has run only 2 bad races in his career-his debut on turf & the Tampa Derby off a 4.5 month layoff. As long as he's going into a race with a prior recent race he runs his race. Exaggerator will get a lot of $ and Brody has beaten him twice, including a race on a muddy track which is Exaggerator's strength. He's already won at CD & is stabled there and all his works will be at CD. Of the main contenders, he's one of the best bred for 1 1/4.

In a field where this longshot ran as fast in his last prep as the favorite and has a pattern I believe is indicative of a strong forward move and has already finished ahead of the probable 2nd choice twice, Brody screams value to me & he's got just as good a chance as any other horse in the race. The fact that he needs the forward move I expect him to make will keep him under the radar unless he starts getting raves from the clockers.

As of 4/24 my #1 Derby horse is Brody's Cause.