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Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (611 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: May 17, 2004 05:53PM

I think it's pretty clear this is the best horse to come into the Belmont trying for a triple crown in a long time. He's certainly a lot better than some of the recent ones.

He was very good right from the beginning of his career.

He moved forward as you would hope.

He has brilliance, but is rateable.

He is not missing a thing....other than of course the questions about his pedigee and ability to get 12 furlongs.

I'm not 100% convinced about his stamina to go 12 furlongs yet. I've seen plenty of horses look good at 9 and 10 furlongs and not run well at 12 furlongs.

Heck, just last year a lot of people were questioning Funny Cide's stamina going into the Derby and after he got it, 12 furlongs became a non-issue - which I thought was preposterous.

Usually they tip a stamina problem off through their figures or visually. Either, they will decline or not improve much off their big figures at shorter distances as they stretch out and time passes when they should be moving forward. Sometimes you will visually be able to see them shorten stride a little late in some of their races when tested a bit.

I haven't seen that from SJ yet, but I think it's a mistake to automatically assume he gets 12 furlongs when you make your odds line. He deserves to be a heavy favorite, but not an automatic.

This is still a big speed horse that was wiring sprints in 44.1. THere are not too many horses with a profile like that and a sprint pedigree that want 12 furlongs.

One thing I am 100% certain of.

If he loses, there will be a big debate about whether he lost because he bounced after so many tough races or whether he didn't want 12 furlongs. I think it will be the latter (IF he loses). I think Servis has done a masterful job with this horse. He looks great, is running great, has not been abused in the mornings and always without fail fires a big shot. This horse is going to run a big race in 3 weeks for at least 10 furlongs. :-)



Subject Written By Posted
SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (966 Views) johnny u 05/17/2004 02:22AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (584 Views) gambino 05/17/2004 07:34AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (511 Views) Mall 05/17/2004 05:08PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (517 Views) MO 05/19/2004 08:39PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (529 Views) Mall 05/19/2004 08:51PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (603 Views) MO 05/19/2004 09:00PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (456 Views) jbelfior 05/17/2004 08:53AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (528 Views) shanahan 05/17/2004 10:40AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (519 Views) twoshoes 05/17/2004 11:47AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (540 Views) TGJB 05/17/2004 12:23PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (502 Views) Dana 05/17/2004 01:08PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (531 Views) jbelfior 05/17/2004 03:05PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (561 Views) clark 05/17/2004 03:24PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (479 Views) asfufh 05/17/2004 04:37PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (466 Views) johnny u 05/17/2004 06:20PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (530 Views) MO 05/17/2004 06:54PM
SMARTY WILL WIN THE BELMONT (523 Views) Bham41 05/17/2004 07:12PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (669 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 05/17/2004 09:19PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (498 Views) jimbo66 05/19/2004 11:43AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (509 Views) MO 05/19/2004 07:14PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (545 Views) twoshoes 05/18/2004 08:37AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (471 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 05/17/2004 03:13PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (611 Views) 05/17/2004 05:53PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (433 Views) MO 05/19/2004 08:42PM


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