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Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (616 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: May 17, 2004 05:53PM

I think it's pretty clear this is the best horse to come into the Belmont trying for a triple crown in a long time. He's certainly a lot better than some of the recent ones.

He was very good right from the beginning of his career.

He moved forward as you would hope.

He has brilliance, but is rateable.

He is not missing a thing....other than of course the questions about his pedigee and ability to get 12 furlongs.

I'm not 100% convinced about his stamina to go 12 furlongs yet. I've seen plenty of horses look good at 9 and 10 furlongs and not run well at 12 furlongs.

Heck, just last year a lot of people were questioning Funny Cide's stamina going into the Derby and after he got it, 12 furlongs became a non-issue - which I thought was preposterous.

Usually they tip a stamina problem off through their figures or visually. Either, they will decline or not improve much off their big figures at shorter distances as they stretch out and time passes when they should be moving forward. Sometimes you will visually be able to see them shorten stride a little late in some of their races when tested a bit.

I haven't seen that from SJ yet, but I think it's a mistake to automatically assume he gets 12 furlongs when you make your odds line. He deserves to be a heavy favorite, but not an automatic.

This is still a big speed horse that was wiring sprints in 44.1. THere are not too many horses with a profile like that and a sprint pedigree that want 12 furlongs.

One thing I am 100% certain of.

If he loses, there will be a big debate about whether he lost because he bounced after so many tough races or whether he didn't want 12 furlongs. I think it will be the latter (IF he loses). I think Servis has done a masterful job with this horse. He looks great, is running great, has not been abused in the mornings and always without fail fires a big shot. This horse is going to run a big race in 3 weeks for at least 10 furlongs. :-)



Subject Written By Posted
SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (975 Views) johnny u 05/17/2004 02:22AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (590 Views) gambino 05/17/2004 07:34AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (517 Views) Mall 05/17/2004 05:08PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (520 Views) MO 05/19/2004 08:39PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (532 Views) Mall 05/19/2004 08:51PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (606 Views) MO 05/19/2004 09:00PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (460 Views) jbelfior 05/17/2004 08:53AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (532 Views) shanahan 05/17/2004 10:40AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (524 Views) twoshoes 05/17/2004 11:47AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (543 Views) TGJB 05/17/2004 12:23PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (507 Views) Dana 05/17/2004 01:08PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (535 Views) jbelfior 05/17/2004 03:05PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (566 Views) clark 05/17/2004 03:24PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (483 Views) asfufh 05/17/2004 04:37PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (471 Views) johnny u 05/17/2004 06:20PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (534 Views) MO 05/17/2004 06:54PM
SMARTY WILL WIN THE BELMONT (526 Views) Bham41 05/17/2004 07:12PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (673 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 05/17/2004 09:19PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (503 Views) jimbo66 05/19/2004 11:43AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (514 Views) MO 05/19/2004 07:14PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (549 Views) twoshoes 05/18/2004 08:37AM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (475 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 05/17/2004 03:13PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (616 Views) 05/17/2004 05:53PM
Re: SMARTY WILL LOSE THE BELMONT (436 Views) MO 05/19/2004 08:42PM


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