Re: Just following up... (747 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 27, 2016 06:29PM
You're making assumptions about how they got there. And the point is, if we had the whole day it might turn out to be apparent how they got there, but it will also be apparent that it's wrong. For example, if they used one track speed for the day, it would mean they were using an average of the track speeds during a seven hour card, where the track was first drying out, then took rain late in the card. And so on.
As for the second part, you use the same method with a claimer and a stake, which is to do it off the horses. That's the only way to make figures. There is no machine that measures track speed. Stake horses are better cared for and get more time between races, which results in less erratic patterns, and makes it easier to do figures using them. But the method is the same.
If that race was the only race on the card and he only had the Preakness horses to work with, Jake would have made it faster (at least I hope to God he would have, for his customers sake). So he did something else. And the question is, what is the logic behind whatever he did?