Re: The Gamblin part (756 Views)
Posted by:
Furious Pete (IP Logged)
Date: August 09, 2016 05:53PM
TempletonPeck wrote: I like this concept a lot - in fact, I try to be even more polarized. I tend to bet P5 sequences with one ticket that I punch 10-20 times, and that ticket will have max 7-8 horses used in the entire sequence. Then I will play 5 tickets "4 A's with 1 B," and that's typically it.
This is pretty far from my typical approach, except maybe in extremely straight forward sequences. Playing "only A's and maybe one B" is not exactly to be making room for serendipity, which I think is a huge aspect of these horizontal wagers (and even trifectas). I think N.N. Taleb's theories are brilliant in explaining why one should try to "make friends" with randomness, instead of trying to conquer it (check out The Black Swan and Antifragile). If you're playing with this level of confidence you will never hit "the crazy combinations" that leads to the big payoffs, but when you do hit you will hit many with what in hindsight will look like an obvious sequence. I guess that the way you play these pick 5's is by being really selective in finding the ones where this approach is sound. I'm not taking anything away from that, but I certainly wouldn't recommend that approach to any pick 5.