This is a race for a chance to be BIG in the exotics; the pace of this NYB turf stakes changed dramatically when front-speed Freudie Anne didn't enter, and pace-presser Mah Jon Madness opted for the Nobel Damsel.

JC's Shooting Star (30-1) better than last; prefers firm grass, but a cut below these.

Fourstar Crook (2-1) Logical, and last two are career best, but adds 5 lbs off the Yaddo win. key to this race is to watch the early races to see if turf favors her closing punch; if speed prevails, she can hit the board, but i will take a stand against her.

Flipcup (6-1) Ridiculous ML; should be under 4-1. Major player for Mott, but was she helped by the softer turf in the Yaddo??

Carameaway (30-1) No, and a likely scratch.

Neck of the Moon (7/2) Win-pool underlay, but an exotic must-use, as she always hit the board. Let her beat me!

Old Harbor (8-1) Won restricted at Delpark that was written for her; in good form, and one of the pace keys. IF she wars on the front with Invading Humor, then the closer will feast.

The Tea Cups (4-1) cross-entered in the Nobel Damsel, perhaps to get Graded black-type. Major player in here if she goes!

Invading Humor (20-1) The other pace key, and she finally gets the cool weather she loves, and firm grass in a NYB stakes. Has the best pace numbers, and won this in 2014; IF 'Harbor sits off of her, as she did in the Ticonderoga, she is a real threat to wire these, at a price!

Jules N Rome MTO

Selenite (10-1) Has run well, and last was hidden by a bad trip; can hit the board at a nice price.

Swear By It (30-1) Has never been this good, but was cleverly placed to get graded black type going very long at Delaware...pass!

The play: Watch the early turf routes, as this will temper the play. Invading Humor at anywhere near the ML is the across-the-board play; use in exotics with Selenite, Fourstar Crook, Flipcup, 'Moon, and Tea cups, if she goes!