The rest of the card (1308 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: March 18, 2017 10:39AM
I'm not going to try to pick the Rebel winner, that race is too tough for me, but I like some other races today at Oaklawn. Now, outside of the 1st, I don't have any price horses, but in the races I can't pick, with singles in a bunch of races, I can spread out in between and look for bombs to come in in the races I find too unpredictable. I'm hitting the ALL in the 4th, going 6 deep
in the 8th and 5 deep in the 9th singling Terra & Madefromlucky in the 2 earlier legs. Unfortunately, the late P5 is too unpredictable for me to get involved in.
1st: Bombs away with #12 Miss Everdeen-You won't find her TG #s to be among the faster fillies, but this is her 1st route after gaining conditioning in 2 sprints. Take a look at Lemon Drop Kid's TGI in routes vs sprints. She's out of a turf routing mare and while she may be better on turf, her breeding for the distance gives her a shot at a nice price in here.
3rd: #2 Be a Factor has the best dirt number. I'm not buying My Mystery's turf number in August translating into a dirt win in March off the long layoff. Be a Factor jogs here.
5th: #2 Sameeha is fast going in and should improve further with the stretch out to a mile. Short price, but looks too tough to beat.
6th: #4 Greeley and Ben was fast at 2 compared with this field and with normal 2 to 3 improvement should run even faster today. No fear of him needing one off his last 2 works. I'm looking for #7 Horse Fly to bounce back after being outclassed in the Risen Star to complete the exacta.
7th: #2 Terra Promessa looks like a free square in picks.
8th: I'll defer to the ROW analysis in my P3s, but I like the fastest horse, #8 Madefromlucky the best.
11th: I'll go with the ML favorite #2 Our Track to end the day on a winning note. An improving horse, but hasn't raced since 11/12/16.
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