Re: FL Derby - Outside the figures (1054 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: March 31, 2017 10:29PM
Minolan,
Not all forward moves are the same. The 6 point new top last year was during august of his 2 year old season. Horses jump all the time that early in their development.
This is a 5 point new top, to a negative 2 and change. How many 3 year olds run negative 2 in February and don't regress? Smarty Jones? This guy ain't Smarty Jones, at least you can't bet him like he is.
As for how far he bounces, if he bounces, there is never a limit. You won't get more factors going against an odds on favorite then you get going against Gunnevara.