Re: Slide? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Slide. (509 Views)
Posted by:
fasteddie (IP Logged)
Date: June 10, 2004 01:52PM
Marcus:
Any way you slice it, my point was that Bird was a huge overlay WHEN you factor things like horse-for-course AND his numbers at 2.
Horses mature a lot from 2 to 3, and one of my favorite non-stakes plays is 2yo layoff maidens who show talent, and come out first time at 3 following at least a 3 month layoff.
Where Birdstone is similar is that he ran a HUGE 3yo debut, and caught 2 bad tracks thereafter. His POTENTIAL says he is a must-use in an otherwise bad betting race, if you believe that Smarty would not collapse (I didn't, and he didn't!) This is why IMHO 9 out of 10 players would call him an overlay, so lighten up!