Re: Pavel / Japan race (483 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco
Date: December 01, 2018 11:41PM
The morning/midnight line is an incredible 35/1. If he runs his race he must be considered an overlay and contender (imo). Reddam & trainer Mora (I thought he was trained by Doug O'Neil?) must have a good reason to go to Sushiland.
I worry the jockey Mario Guttierez will lose too much ground but he occasionally surprises me.
Maybe it's all about breeding but, if not, geez it's not easy to get 35/1 on a horse that is able to run fast sometimes.
I'll take a shot.
Then with 11 minutes until post Pavel is 4/1. I'll switch to Morea #9 Sunrise Soar he is 20/1 and I trust the jockey.
Ouch - Pavel ended up going off @7/1 and loomed menacingly in the stretch (on the outside of course) before disappearing and my choice ran third to the even money favorite LE VENT SE LEVE (JPN) beaten a head by #12 a 48/1 outsider who headed me late.
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