First: you have to keep records and ROI and then you can ascertain if you are good at picking winners or contenders. You can do this if you find out hitting more boxes than keys, if you win more playing horses in exotics, vs to win. If you are good at picking contenders then boxing is for you. I recently took a look at all my win bets and found that I was 1 for 34. This told me that I was going after too many longshots, my handicapping wasn't good enough or I was betting the wrong contenders. Also, if you can only hit winners 10% of the time, then you should bet on any horse lower than 10-1. I found out that I make the most money of exotics. Also, it seems tri and supers with the payoff being so high, may be worth the stab if you have a deep enough bankroll. I have no qualm boxing 6 horses in the tri if the odds are high enough. Remember, you're here to make money not pick winners. I still regret not doing a 6 horse super box in the AP million!!. However, in order to do this you have to decide if the fav is vulnerable and that is the crux of the matter in my opinion.