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Re: Derby Week (1085 Views)
Posted by: mjellish (IP Logged)
Date: April 28, 2019 12:21PM

Some good points here Frank.

Tough to say whether Omaha Beach bounces or not. He's not acting like it so far, but we will see how he comes out of his work. I think he's a deserving favorite, but it is tough to see him moving forward in this spot.

The horse I plan to play against is Maximum Security. I'm of the opinion that he's had 4 races and had it all his own way in every one of them. He's not going to get that here, and I hope he folds under pressure.

I'm also not as high on Tacitus as most others seem to be. To my eye he is more of a grinder, Belmont type of horse.

I don't like how Game Winner has been running on his wrong lead lately. He even broke on his wrong lead. He didn't do that at 2, so I see it as a negative and perhaps an indication that there is some type of physical issue brewing. He's certainly a trier and lays his body down every race. I like Improbable the best of the Bafferts. Lot of talk about him being by a City Zip, but Collected was a City Zip and got 10 panels. Lots of stamina influences on the Dam side of the pedigree too.

Curious to see what By My Standards and War of Will do in this race. I really like how By My Standards has been acting lately, and I think his LA Derby was a little better than it looks on TG. I also have his maiden faster. I also really like he wasn't afraid to shift inside, shoot through a gap and split horses. He's a neat colt, just not sure how much I like a Goldencents to get 10 panels so it's a little tough to see him winning. War of Will has every right to bounce back from his LA Derby Debacle, and he was pretty fast heading into that race.

Tax is an interesting gelding too. Nice claim by Gargan. He's had 3 stakes races at 1 1/8 and hit the board in every one of them. I don't see him as a strong win candidate but he could hit the board at decent odds.

A very, very good betting race IMO.

Give my regards to Jimbo.

Looking forward to the draw.



Subject Written By Posted
Derby Week (1320 Views) FrankD. 04/28/2019 05:34AM
Re: Derby Week (1067 Views) jbelfior 04/28/2019 07:55AM
Re: Derby Week (986 Views) Chas04 04/28/2019 08:11AM
Re: Derby Week (892 Views) jbelfior 04/28/2019 08:35AM
Re: Derby Week (892 Views) Silver Charm 04/28/2019 08:46AM
Re: Derby Week (983 Views) johnnym 04/28/2019 09:28AM
Re: Derby Week (891 Views) Chas04 04/28/2019 10:00AM
Re: Derby Week (866 Views) johnnym 04/28/2019 10:10AM
Re: Derby Week (925 Views) Chas04 04/28/2019 10:16AM
Re: Derby Week (935 Views) sekrah_ 04/28/2019 09:46AM
Re: Derby Week (957 Views) Fairmount1 04/28/2019 09:53AM
Re: Derby Week (911 Views) FrankD. 04/28/2019 10:06AM
Re: Derby Week (1085 Views) mjellish 04/28/2019 12:21PM
Re: Derby Week (924 Views) Fairmount1 04/28/2019 01:30PM
Re: Derby Week (863 Views) sekrah_ 04/28/2019 02:11PM
Re: Derby Week (920 Views) JimP 04/28/2019 02:36PM
Re: Derby Week (931 Views) mjellish 04/28/2019 03:21PM
Re: Derby Week (857 Views) JimP 04/28/2019 06:05PM
Re: Derby Week (901 Views) mjellish 04/28/2019 06:31PM
Re: Derby Week (745 Views) JimP 04/29/2019 11:34AM
Re: Derby Week (783 Views) mjellish 04/29/2019 12:30PM
Re: Derby Week (700 Views) JimP 04/29/2019 12:52PM
Re: Derby Week (678 Views) Furious Pete 04/29/2019 01:31PM
Re: Derby Week (698 Views) johnnym 04/29/2019 01:06PM
Re: Derby Week (762 Views) hellersorr 04/29/2019 01:18PM
Re: Derby Week (785 Views) mjellish 04/29/2019 01:33PM
Re: Derby Week (696 Views) JimP 04/29/2019 01:53PM
Re: Derby Week (732 Views) P-Dub 04/29/2019 02:01PM
Re: Derby Week (722 Views) Chas04 04/29/2019 04:32PM
Re: Derby Week (747 Views) JimP 04/29/2019 01:52PM
Re: Derby Week (927 Views) jbelfior 04/28/2019 03:28PM
Re: Derby Week (889 Views) johnnym 04/28/2019 03:47PM
Re: Derby Week (857 Views) hellersorr 04/28/2019 01:52PM
Re: Derby Week (844 Views) johnnym 04/28/2019 02:19PM


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