We looked you up and couldn't find where you downloaded anything, so I'm assuming you took the analysis by phone (if I'm wrong about this e-mail me with your account info so we can look it up). Which makes it extremely difficult to know how large a sampling you have looked at, or which days and tracks you took.

I did the analysis for Sar and Dmr yesterday, and I went down with you. Obviously I violently disagree with you on the "common sense" question, and I'll say it again-- post in advance the situations where other factors cause you to conclude our thinking is wrong, and we'll see how it works out.

The 1 to 2 on the Pletcher horse indicates one of the problems with doing this the previous day-- do you really think I would have used a first time starter at that price? And other considerations aside, that "allowance race at Saratoga" you refer to was a New York bred race. As for Amaneunis, he had ONE top on a wet track-- all his other good ones (and tops) came on fast tracks. And of course, we didn't give out Midas Eyes as a win bet-- we said to single him in the pick three because we thought there was value in the two horses in the previous race. One of whom was a late scratch (the other ran up the track).

Anyway, sorry to hear you had as bad a day as I did. I look forward to hearing the knocks in advance next time.

Beavis-- again, since readers of this forum are actually reading ROTW themselves, your post doesn't really require a response. But I had a thought-- all the ROTW's are still available on this site. Why don't you do an actual study to see how they have worked out-- take the last 50 (100? 200?), work out a play based on $100 bet expressing our opinion each week (of course, you would have to lay out what the bets were so we could all see whether they reflect our opinion), and do an ROI.

Just so we are clear-- we choose ROTW based on public interest in the race, and elements which make it a good teaching tool, meaning those that enable us to focus on the features of TG that differentiate it from other handicapping tools, and other approaches to handicapping.

And as always, I encourage you to offer up your opinions before the races, and if they are based on Ragozin, to make that clear then. This childish selective sniping after the fact ain't gonna get you taken seriously.



TGJB