Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  The Hockessin Stakes Delaware Park, Race 6, July 13, 2019 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Shancelot (404 Views)
Posted by: FrankD. (IP Logged)
Date: August 23, 2019 09:01PM

Danny,

The text below is from an email string I’m on with some TG/non TG guy’s.
I’m working on a stakes pick 5 for tomorrow and debating if it is worth playing?
The sequence could easily chalk out with 4/5 under 2/1 with a couple under even money.....

I intended to play 2 tickets, one singling Shancelot & Elate, the other tossing Shancelot and using the closers. I’m against Hog Creek, considering Mind Control,
Borracho, Nitrous & Rowayton.

A couple more shots of Fireball May be needed.....

When they run big #’s, Shancelot TG 6- neg, one of the top 4 or 5 figures ever given to a horse on TG. Obviously they exert a lot of energy and need a recovery period to rejuvenate. They get particularly sore in their hind quarters from big efforts.
You will see many after an effort have a bad start in their next race.
The reason is they blast or push off from their hind quarters when leaving the gate. The speed balls especially. When they are sore or hurting? They don’t fully exert themselves for the blast off and often get away bad.
The combination of a big effort, having the rail and with Call Paul right outside who can certainly run with him for at least a 1/4 if not a half and whatever Navarro does!!!
Makes IMHO a decent shot to take against him in a minor position. He may be 2/5 and on 95 % of the pick 5 tickets.
The flip side is he is that much faster than the rest of the field he could handle a pretty good bounce and still win. Being in Navarro’s barn only make the decision more difficult.



Subject Written By Posted
Shancelot (405 Views) GAM 08/23/2019 08:16PM
Re: Shancelot (394 Views) dannyboy135 08/23/2019 08:43PM
Re: Shancelot (355 Views) philywheel 08/23/2019 08:49PM
Re: Shancelot (347 Views) johnnym 08/23/2019 08:52PM
Re: Shancelot (404 Views) FrankD. 08/23/2019 09:01PM
Re: Shancelot (343 Views) dannyboy135 08/23/2019 09:36PM
Re: Shancelot (324 Views) bluechip21 08/23/2019 09:54PM
Re: Shancelot (366 Views) Fairmount1 08/23/2019 10:02PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.