I only bought the PP's for Saturday. But after listening to the seminar, I went back and something struck as more than odd about...McKinzie. Here is a horse - on paper at least - who looks just plain better than the rest. Having a great year. So I wondered when I saw this: McKinzie has had one rider for the last 2 years. Mike Smith. For the Classic? Mckinzie gets...Rosario. WTF?

Mike Smith is on Yoshida. This was stunning to me in light of what seminar indicated about Baffert horses as a whole. Smith gets off the Classic favorite to ride a horse in Yoshida who's winless this year. McKinzie ran in the Classic last year and was up the track in 12th at 7-2. You could probably say Smith knows this horse just doesn't have 10 furlongs in him. Which is a good assumption to make. But...

In an undercard race, Baffert has comebacking Roadster - once his main Derby horse this year - at 7-5. Smith had been on him 4 of 5 starts. Saturday? The NY based Irad Ortiz will sit his ass on Roadster for the first time. While Smith sits in the jocks room. Thinking Smith could be the idicator that the Baffert horses might be a pass on Saturday.