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 Race of the Week:  La Canada Stakes Santa Anita, Race 8, January 11, 2020 
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Re: BC Biases (445 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 03, 2019 09:33AM

I'm not sure your comments about biases are fair. The talking heads need to talk about something, but Blue Prize closed from next to last to win the Distaff and several closers hit the board in dirt races. I think a lot of times a quirky course will seem to be speed-biased just because the horses who are handling the surface naturally wind up forwardly placed. The inside bias on the turf seemed to fade (see Uni) as the turf got chewed up over the course of the two days after the rails had been out most of the meet. Was Santa Anita wrong to protect the course in anticipation of the Breeders Cup?

As for New York, I'd like to see the Breeders Cup back there because the exotics takeout is lower and one-turn mile races are much fairer than those at two turns when the fields are large. The weather is, however, usually cold and sometimes wet (see the Monmouth experience) and New York courses are not immune to biases (see Track Trends on the NYRA website).

Subject Written By Posted
BC DREAMIN' (565 Views) Dana666 11/03/2019 07:34AM
Re: BC DREAMIN' (409 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 08:48AM
Re: BC DREAMIN' (390 Views) Dana666 11/03/2019 09:19AM
Re: BC Biases (445 Views) BitPlayer 11/03/2019 09:33AM
Re: BC Biases (399 Views) johnnym 11/03/2019 09:45AM
Re: BC Biases (370 Views) BitPlayer 11/03/2019 10:37AM
Re: BC Biases (336 Views) johnnym 11/03/2019 10:55AM
observations (386 Views) mistermoose 11/03/2019 11:04AM
Re: BC Biases (300 Views) bluechip21 11/04/2019 07:17AM
Re: BC Biases (378 Views) philywheel 11/03/2019 11:21AM
Re: BC Biases (387 Views) Rich Curtis 11/03/2019 11:47AM
Re: BC Biases (357 Views) GOAT 11/04/2019 01:32AM
Re: BC Biases (340 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 09:24AM
Re: BC DREAMIN' (321 Views) belmont3 11/04/2019 06:54AM

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