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 Race of the Week:  Kentucky Oaks and Derby Cards - Final Figures Churchill Downs, 4-5 September 2020 
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Re: IRAD (386 Views)
Posted by: Mike C (IP Logged)
Date: June 12, 2020 08:58AM

I remember last year there was a period where Castellano was winning all the grass stakes races, it made it difficult to bet those races, because the public started making Castellano's horse the favorite even when not deserved.
So While I agree that you should always be careful with Irad, you can get great value on faster horses, like yesterdays 7th race, Irad was on Chestertown, a nice 3 year old with only a maiden win to his credit, had run a top of 8 running up the track in a stake at fairgrounds, had a nice looking sheet, you even might say the horse showed he could even move forward off the 2 pt top, had some rest, etc. Only problem was that there were 3 horses in the race capable of running in the 3's (including the winner at $12.60 with Manny). Chestertown was 3-5/4-5 right up to post time and he went off at 6-5. To Irads credit he ran 2nd, but my point is only that as good as he is, even if he wins 34%,like the last 30 days, he doesn't win 66%, and you get better odds on the other contenders.

Subject Written By Posted
IRAD (1376 Views) philywheel 06/07/2020 02:29PM
Re: IRAD (674 Views) JohnTChance 06/07/2020 07:02PM
Re: IRAD (584 Views) vired 06/07/2020 09:56PM
Re: IRAD (602 Views) P-Dub 06/08/2020 12:17AM
Re: IRAD (626 Views) hellersorr 06/08/2020 12:46AM
Re: IRAD (499 Views) johnnym 06/08/2020 07:08AM
Re: IRAD (457 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 10:54AM
Re: IRAD (452 Views) johnnym 06/08/2020 12:35PM
Re: IRAD (487 Views) richiebee 06/08/2020 01:02PM
Re: IRAD (508 Views) Tavasco 06/09/2020 08:53AM
Over-under (473 Views) philywheel 06/10/2020 04:08PM
Re: Over-under (397 Views) P-Dub 06/11/2020 03:14AM
Re: Over-under (353 Views) P-Dub 06/11/2020 06:49PM
Re: Over-under (344 Views) aceriley63 06/11/2020 09:04PM
Re: IRAD (461 Views) JohnTChance 06/08/2020 02:23PM
Re: IRAD (450 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 02:47PM
Re: IRAD (479 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 04:45AM
Re: IRAD (386 Views) Mike C 06/12/2020 08:58AM

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