Re: IRAD (815 Views)
Posted by: Mike C (IP Logged)
Date: June 12, 2020 08:58AM

I remember last year there was a period where Castellano was winning all the grass stakes races, it made it difficult to bet those races, because the public started making Castellano's horse the favorite even when not deserved.
So While I agree that you should always be careful with Irad, you can get great value on faster horses, like yesterdays 7th race, Irad was on Chestertown, a nice 3 year old with only a maiden win to his credit, had run a top of 8 running up the track in a stake at fairgrounds, had a nice looking sheet, you even might say the horse showed he could even move forward off the 2 pt top, had some rest, etc. Only problem was that there were 3 horses in the race capable of running in the 3's (including the winner at $12.60 with Manny). Chestertown was 3-5/4-5 right up to post time and he went off at 6-5. To Irads credit he ran 2nd, but my point is only that as good as he is, even if he wins 34%,like the last 30 days, he doesn't win 66%, and you get better odds on the other contenders.



Subject Written By Posted
IRAD (2003 Views) philywheel 06/07/2020 02:29PM
Re: IRAD (1090 Views) JohnTChance 06/07/2020 07:02PM
Re: IRAD (1062 Views) vired 06/07/2020 09:56PM
Re: IRAD (979 Views) P-Dub 06/08/2020 12:17AM
Re: IRAD (1080 Views) hellersorr 06/08/2020 12:46AM
Re: IRAD (838 Views) johnnym 06/08/2020 07:08AM
Re: IRAD (863 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 10:54AM
Re: IRAD (996 Views) johnnym 06/08/2020 12:35PM
Re: IRAD (895 Views) richiebee 06/08/2020 01:02PM
Re: IRAD (953 Views) Tavasco 06/09/2020 08:53AM
Over-under (899 Views) philywheel 06/10/2020 04:08PM
Re: Over-under (762 Views) P-Dub 06/11/2020 03:14AM
Re: Over-under (745 Views) P-Dub 06/11/2020 06:49PM
Re: Over-under (697 Views) aceriley63 06/11/2020 09:04PM
Re: IRAD (951 Views) JohnTChance 06/08/2020 02:23PM
Re: IRAD (865 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 02:47PM
Re: IRAD (889 Views) philywheel 06/08/2020 04:45AM
Re: IRAD (815 Views) Mike C 06/12/2020 08:58AM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.