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 Race of the Week:  Kentucky Oaks and Derby Cards - Final Figures Churchill Downs, 4-5 September 2020 
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2020 Kentucky Oaks in the rear view mirror. (382 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: September 05, 2020 04:30AM

I'm not sure there was anything that didn't surprise me. Commenting on the race may help me put some pieces together.

I won't try and speculate which fillies TG# went down or up or stayed the same that is the TG domain. My focus is on my own learning where was my logic off base and vice versa.

The Winner Shedaresthedevil, her pattern was obviously that of an improving horse. I had doubts because she had a lot of improvement to date and was still 3 or 5 points slower than the top 3 favorites. Cox? Daredevil? The biggest question in my mind is did the others regress or did the winner jump up again?

The 2nd place finisher Swiss Skydiver whom I along with many expected to regress ran a good race. Could be Gaffalione had Gamine measured and was surprised when the winner spurted away.

Gamine? Baffert pretty much said she was a question at the longer distance without shouting it? The Baffert mystique also obscured that not many improve on a -2. Backing up should not surprise me. But it did.

I suppose Speech ran her race may be a slight regression. I thought she might improve. In the end, without the winner, the top three figured!

Donna Veloce had some trouble but my opinion is she should not have been in that race. I can't know but she ran like a horse with some physical problems. I saw her as one with an upside exactly the wrong read. So I have a grudge with her connections.

Tempers Rising the key to a $4,469 super high five. That's the one TGJB commented on I think. Don't ya just hate it when that happens?

I also liked Hopeful Growth. The wrong pattern read again. The regression was as likely as a continued improvement. I was seduced by the price.





I was never gonna have that winner

Swiss Skydiver's pattern was equally positive as negative imo.

Gamine, "when in doubt don't" especially when at a short price.



Subject Written By Posted
2020 Kentucky Oaks in the rear view mirror. (382 Views) Tavasco 09/05/2020 04:30AM
Re: 2020 Kentucky Oaks in the rear view mirror. (304 Views) Marlin 09/05/2020 09:06AM


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