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Re: The Louisiana Derby (567 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: March 17, 2021 02:54PM

BitPlayer Wrote:
> This would not be the first time that I had the
> ground loss wrong, but I had Proxy inside
> Mandaloun on both turns in the Risen Star (tipping
> out turning for home) and earning a figure that
> was 1.5 to 2 points slower. Proxy is second-time
> Velazquez and adding blinkers. I wonder if
> Velazquez suggested them.

Now that I've watched a replay of the Risen Star -> Video it does appear to me that Proxy had a shorter trip than Mandaloun up to the second half of the second turn where Proxy appeared to lose lots of ground. Also, an examination of Starinmydreams trip leaves me befuddled. Appears the Jockey Saez was asleep at the wheel when the gates opened. Then Starinmydreams eagerly ran up and into another competitor ultimately settling into a long rally that carried him almost up to the leaders before getting stopped and started and stopped finally just cruising home. a non-effort. So I still think this one has upside and may even attend the pace Saturday.

> I don't know what to make of Midnight Bourbon's
> recent bullet work.

His last, a :49 4F could indicate the training team relaxing and could think he's ready. The extra furlong gives me pause and I'll leave him off my tickets. The rest all seemingly working 1:00 5F's so AOK

> I agree that Hod Rod Charlie is interesting.
> Former poster Derby1592 has mentioned on Twitter
> that he has been betting this horse in the futures
> pools. Trainer of record Mora is an assistant to
> the suspended Doug O'Neill. (I'd like to see data
> providers start ignoring these interim trainers of
> record and start showing stats for the real
> trainer.) My question is how he will handle the
> stretchout from 8.5 furlongs to 9.5. It could be
> discouraging that he did not get by Medina Spirit
> or hold off Roman Centurian in the Lewis, but he
> may not have been fully cranked, and that should
> not be an issue on Saturday. Based on the betting
> in the futures pool two weeks ago, I think you'll
> get at least 2-1.

I watched the replay of the Lewis -Video a virtual three-way dead heat. It could be that I overestimate Medina Spirit. If the raging Cajuns are underwhelmed by the shipper and like many didn't know the significance of the trainer. Oh Well.

I appreciate your added info.

Subject Written By Posted
The Louisianna Derby (614 Views) Tavasco 03/17/2021 05:09AM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (516 Views) BitPlayer 03/17/2021 10:25AM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (567 Views) Tavasco 03/17/2021 02:54PM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (481 Views) Bet Twice 03/19/2021 10:40PM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (319 Views) BitPlayer 03/21/2021 10:36AM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (301 Views) jm2324 03/21/2021 11:53AM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (330 Views) jm2324 03/21/2021 11:55AM
Re: The Louisiana Derby (288 Views) JohnTChance 03/22/2021 02:50PM

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