Good Point well made. I have a similar issue with Race 9 at Belmont Turf Sprint. Tomorrow. Horse in Question Hey Its Tati. Predicted race shape time 24.47sec (4th best). However the horse has run on turf only twice. 22.63 Carmouche on 5.5f and Saratoga and 25.28 6f Varglas on Aqua. Normal problem not enough data to predict outcome.... (and once you have enough data the patterns already established so everyone knows anyhow). Then you add Blinkers Off and its a Barrera 1st off switch. So I will have to guess.