Re: Belmont Day - 6th Race (490 Views)
Posted by: grinder
Date: June 03, 2021 10:30AM
I would agree with Rich on his assessment of Completed Pass. While he does have fast recent numbers - both were earned at 5 furlongs and he is a 7 year old coming back on short rest off two huge efforts and Lasix-off for this race. Additionally, the trainer has had very limited success shipping to NYRA. The only recent wins I could find were on the dirt at Aqueduct during the Fall/Winter meets.
I think the key to the race is Bound for Nowhere - he ran huge last time after a very awkward start from a wide post. He is another 7 year old with a lot of talent but apparent physical issues. It usually pays to bet against these horses running back after running big figures off a layoff. However, Wesley Ward's barn has been on fire all Spring and he continues his hot hand at Belmont. Therefore, I find it difficult to take a hard stand against him and will cover with him in the exotics.
I am interested in Sombeyay in here. He ran a very good number at Churchill last time - while in tight and bounced around in traffic in deep stretch. While the trainer has been quiet so far at Belmont, he has a history of getting big numbers from his turf sprinters in stakes races. While he could regress off the last effort - I think he is the price play of the race at 7/1 or better.
I also think that Got Stormy appears to be a shadow of her former self - from a figure and visual perspective. Unless it was a Lasix-off issue, she had absolutely no punch last time.
Seems like a helluva good card to get involved with on Saturday - Good Luck.
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