Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (430 Views)
Posted by: TGJB
Date: August 30, 2021 11:27PM
I saw the test list they produced before the pandemic (and I mean right before, my last in person meeting for a long time). The way the program works is it uses a rolling last few startsâ€” I explained to them that guys run hot and cold, if you use large body samples and averages you wonâ€™t get it. (This, by the way, is the mistake in Ragozinâ€™s methodology. Itâ€™s right to use large samples and averages- pars- when you first set up a database, because at that point you have nothing else to work with, but wrong to do it after that because youâ€™re dealing with variable conditions throughout the individual days).
In any event, the best that program can do is approximate what a good handicapper who is looking closely at TG for their own circuit can come up with.