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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (646 Views)
Posted by: TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: August 30, 2021 11:27PM

I saw the test list they produced before the pandemic (and I mean right before, my last in person meeting for a long time). The way the program works is it uses a rolling last few starts— I explained to them that guys run hot and cold, if you use large body samples and averages you won’t get it. (This, by the way, is the mistake in Ragozin’s methodology. It’s right to use large samples and averages- pars- when you first set up a database, because at that point you have nothing else to work with, but wrong to do it after that because you’re dealing with variable conditions throughout the individual days).

In any event, the best that program can do is approximate what a good handicapper who is looking closely at TG for their own circuit can come up with.



Subject Written By Posted
TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (1418 Views) nicely nicely 08/27/2021 10:03PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (673 Views) sand1trap 08/29/2021 01:41PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (674 Views) TGJB 08/29/2021 08:26PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (610 Views) APny 08/30/2021 10:33AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (589 Views) Boscar Obarra 08/30/2021 01:01PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (550 Views) Tavasco 08/30/2021 04:23PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (646 Views) TGJB 08/30/2021 11:27PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (562 Views) hellersorr 08/31/2021 01:05AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (636 Views) TGJB 08/31/2021 02:07AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (578 Views) hellersorr 09/01/2021 01:30AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (628 Views) TGJB 09/01/2021 12:26PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (636 Views) hellersorr 09/02/2021 10:35AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (441 Views) confused 09/10/2021 12:52PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (470 Views) confused 09/10/2021 12:46PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (540 Views) TGJB 09/10/2021 01:31PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (463 Views) confused 09/11/2021 12:20AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (433 Views) bluechip21 09/11/2021 10:48AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (456 Views) hellersorr 09/11/2021 12:27PM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (714 Views) colt 08/31/2021 11:35AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (815 Views) TGJB 08/31/2021 11:53AM
Re: TDN - Using Speed Figures to Track Possible Cheaters (546 Views) colt 09/09/2021 03:39PM


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