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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Derby Seminar (362 Views)
Posted by: alm (IP Logged)
Date: May 11, 2022 12:09PM

The best horses in this race didn't win because, and this has happened in the past for sure, it's really, really difficult to get through a 20 horse field on a track that's not designed for it. And let's acknowledge that the jockey on the winner rode a brilliant race. His main goal was to stay out of trouble and make one clean run.

There's also no doubt that the transition to and from a synthetic track covered up the horse's progress that finally showed up on the dirt. I was at Keeneland every day and can report if you look closely that there were upsets like this frequently through the short meet...given that Turfway is a feeder track for some of the horses running against what seems to be tougher company.

A guy sitting at my table had the winner and when I asked him why he made the bet, he showed me his ticket. He bet on the favorite and 3 others with odds spacing up to the longest shot in the field. I just looked to the sky to resolve the nutso factor that I don't have in my handicapping.



Subject Written By Posted
Derby Seminar (3676 Views) prist 05/10/2022 09:00PM
Re: Derby Seminar (514 Views) Ace 05/10/2022 09:19PM
Re: Derby Seminar (499 Views) Ace 05/10/2022 09:42PM
Re: Derby Seminar (441 Views) prist 05/10/2022 09:47PM
Re: Derby Seminar (435 Views) Ace 05/10/2022 09:54PM
Re: Derby Seminar (430 Views) Ace 05/10/2022 10:07PM
Re: Derby Seminar (448 Views) P-Dub 05/10/2022 10:36PM
Re: Derby Seminar (409 Views) statuette 05/10/2022 11:42PM
Re: Derby Seminar (389 Views) johnnym 05/11/2022 07:01AM
Re: Derby Seminar (372 Views) prist 05/11/2022 09:31AM
Re: Derby Seminar (417 Views) TGJB 05/11/2022 11:02AM
Re: Derby Seminar (363 Views) prist 05/11/2022 11:37AM
Re: Derby Seminar (421 Views) TGJB 05/11/2022 11:49AM
Re: Derby Seminar (265 Views) sekrah 05/11/2022 06:44PM
Re: Derby Seminar (295 Views) Roman 05/12/2022 12:04AM
Re: Derby Seminar (362 Views) alm 05/11/2022 12:09PM


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