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Re: QE 2 @ Keeneland (320 Views)
Posted by: Molesap (IP Logged)
Date: October 14, 2023 01:15PM

What I do not get is why NYRABets has not listed the 4 scratches in that race even though they were scratched over two hours ago. They have done that a number of times in the last few weeks and seems more prevalent in stakes for some reason - maybe a software glitch? The thing is, if you look at TG pace (and my pace analysis arrived at similar conclusions) - the four scratches were four of the five pace setters in the race. That race may be run like yesterday with a slow early, fast late profile. That only favors the Euros in my opinion. I know she will be chalky, but I like Mawj. She seems to be improving and her last race was outstanding. For various reason, European shippers often improve on their number first out in the US. That thought makes her scary.

I have seen much speculation regarding how well she'll take to the 9f given her sire has an average winning distance of 6.7f as he seems to have a majority of sprinters. You never know if they can truly get the distance in racehorse time until they do or they don't, and even then you're not sure if they can do it again. I am confident that the distance will not be an issue as she has won at a mile overseas and oftentimes those courses tend to be more taxing. Additionally, her dam sire has an average winning distance of almost 10f and it seems like oftentimes it's the dam side that provides the distance capabilities. Finally, my understanding is that she is here today as a prep for the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. That is a 10f race this year at Santa Anita and I doubt Godolphin is shipping her in if they question her ability to route at that distance. Given that I expect she's going to be able to get the distance, she looks like a standout to me.

Subject Written By Posted
QE 2 @ Keeneland (443 Views) Roman 10/12/2023 01:13PM
Re: QE 2 @ Keeneland (313 Views) prist 10/14/2023 12:15PM
Re: QE 2 @ Keeneland (320 Views) Molesap 10/14/2023 01:15PM
Re: QE 2 @ Keeneland (318 Views) Roman 10/14/2023 02:15PM
Oisin Murphy (356 Views) prist 10/15/2023 01:33AM
Re: Oisin Murphy (264 Views) Roman 10/15/2023 04:16PM

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