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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Brimming With Confidence (594 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: October 21, 2023 10:21AM

After:
1. Winning trifecta in the last race @Seoul last night
2. Winning trifecta in the last race @Singapore last night
3. Successfully (I think) installing Grammarly to my browser.

I thought I would attempt to help anyone interested, by handicapping the first race at Aqu/Bel or Bel/Agu according to the notion - a player can't win them all without winning the first one.

Overview
#5 Kentucky Joker according to the early bettors is a standout @3/5 approx: 9:00 a.m. EST A New York bred $30K maiden claimer going one mile around one turn. The favorite may be the Joker his name implies he comes in off a streak of 5th, 7th, and 7th by a football field finishes. That was in MSW company. So let's face it, he carries a for-sale sign today. IMHO he is likely to make the lead and never look back. Maybe - his price will float up some, if he doesn't have a hole in him, and he can actual last a mile at a slowish pace.

The Threats
#2 Munny For Nuthin 9/2 although mediocre to date has been consistently so to date.

#7 Perfect Outcome 15/1 c'mon, he's only a bit slower than this slow field. He looks to me like the one most likely to improve or jump up. I recommend using him as the key.

The Others
#1 Utamar'o last race looks more like decling form than a dislike for turf. But is a Ms. Linda Rice trainee, could surprise like if someone claimed him or he actuakkt ran a mile here.

#3 Academy Choice 15/1 absolutel one to use based on his race two back and price today unforntuneately, I overlooked this one until after I had writen everything ekse and I don't want to go back and change anything now. Hey it's free and if price relates to value?

#4 Wafir could possibly improve with the switch to dirt but I don't know wy he couldn't keep up on the turf nor finish.

#6 Sinaloa just the name triggers some suspicion. Shippers from upstate don't alway fare to well, so the 10/1 morning line may hold. This one seems to want to get involved early and if the #5 doesn't tire him out in the first 1/2 mile hitting the board isn't unreasonable. I'll make em even money to get claimed?

#7 Perfect Outcome 15/1 c'mon, he's only a bit slower than this slow field. He looks to me like the one most likely to improve or jump up. I recommend using him as the key.

In Summary
They favorite #5 may win, one could use him horizontally. A 2/3/7 ebx probably makes one a winner for the day. At least win bets on #3 & #7 at anything close to 15/1 seems like a good idea.

Good Luck



Subject Written By Posted
Brimming With Confidence (594 Views) Tavasco 10/21/2023 10:21AM
Re: Brimming With Confidence (431 Views) Tavasco 10/21/2023 12:42PM
Re: Brimming With Confidence (394 Views) apindy62 10/22/2023 10:50AM


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