Any of our Experts have an opinion on this TG At the Races G1?

I will make a case for #2 Jerry the Nipper 20/1 ML.
The NY bred gelding has raced exclusively in NY. TP brings Jerry to South Fla this winter and runs a better than it appears 3rd in the FL Stakes where he got bumped, steadied, lost ground and position. Then had to wait for an opening before finishing strong. Pletcher adds blinkers and should get a ground saving trip near the lead. Hoping TP did not have Jerry fully cranked for last as Pegasus appears to be the goal. Seems to like the GP turf and worked a bullet 47.49 coming off last. A 1W,1W TG one point top of 2, might be enough to be in a photo for the exacta. Gelding got to the races very late and his best running might be ahead of him. Also, was campaigned fairly hard with 7 races in 5+ months. Now freshened and 2nd off layoff.

Great betting race, who you like?