I would say a TG 3 or lower, would of liked to see more 3yo colts have run a 4 or lower with one prep to go, since it usually takes about a 0 or better to win, horses that have been running in the 6-7 range in there second to last prep need a bigger jump up in figures, so to have a nice 1-2 point increase in every prep, time is running out. Now they will have a big jump in there figure in there last prep, and increasing the chance of a bounce in the derby, and since most horses do not run tops in the derby , might be only a few colts that would be serious contenders for the roses based on there figure pattern.