Florida Derby (549 Views)
Posted by:
Roman (IP Logged)
Date: March 25, 2024 09:18PM
They drew the race a couple of days ago, and the Two year old champ drew the outside in the 10 post. That race is hard to win from “out there”, as Truman Capote stated in “ In Cold Blood”.
The connections also have Bail Us Out in post 3 with Irad in the saddle. Does anyone think that Fierceness can rate, or does he have to commit to a forward position and most likely be 3-4 wide on both turns? It seems he may be a one trick pony and needs to run without cover, maybe he doesn’t like the dirt hitting him.
And what to make of the other Repole, is he there to play full back, ensuring that Johnny V gets to the rail? Hades looks like he will be on the lead from post 2, and the only other pace horse would be Seminole Chief out of post 6, and Fierceness , who will be wide if those other two leave from the gate.
At probably 1-5, due to his 2 year old figs, and the probable wide trip from the 10 post, and the record of horses from that post at that distance , and his two bad races , one was really bad, and his last wasn’t very inspiring either, Fierceness won’t be in my top slot. His top beats all these horses , but at the odds and other disadvantages, just going to wish the connections luck.
Waiting to see the figs for the race, but another feeling I have is it might be a replay of the Holy bull, slow pace and bunched field, and trip is going to matter.
So Hades to wire them?