East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (425 Views)
Posted by: T Severini (IP Logged)
Date: April 07, 2025 09:30PM

It's a phenomena when one wants to talk Derby and there is little posting going on! It makes one hesitant to post, so let's just edit the theme.

Being critical of East Avenue, he is now a major factor for the Derby. Did not expect him to be around at the end. Ruined the exotics. Despite factoring it otherwise, East largely did have it his way out there. When they decided to come for him he had energy left. East was tired at the end. He changed to the wrong lead to catch some breath, but he ran like a major factor Derby Horse. It's a new perspective from a misjudgment of the pace.So its probably wrong again. :)

Also did NOT foresee the path Hernandez took the Whitman horse. Most definitely Did Not. What in the world! When TGraph makes that figure, it's gonna be interesting on the "wide". Eager to see the Red Board in regard to where they were heading in per Tgraph.

In the Ashland, regarding the T-analysis they picked the 9-1 winner for the perfecta. The winner and place horse actually had the two best figures if you wished to forgive a race and do your footing inside and/or on the lead.

The weather looks good for The Bluegrass. Sun and 45 degrees approximate.

Interesting Monday Track at Keeneland. Certainly, it was drying out. You rarely know how a track is going to be day to day. Tend to suspect the Ashland is a good case study for how the Keeneland track was on the 9th race today. Interesting result with some interesting paths. Maybe the Ashland Result all made sense on TFigs. (I'll pull the Red Board in the morning.) I will say this: At Keeneland I want Franco or Hernandez on my horse. (Though Ortiz may benefit regardless.)

What do you make of the Godolphin horse, East Ave? He certainly is grand looking, but it also appears that he certainly wants the lead. Check out his B.C.Juvenile. (He's in the 1 hole. Don't blink!!!)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edvmeXC_A6s&t=9s

So they put him away and set him down for the Risen Star where he meets a horse with Magnitude. East Avenue appears to have run his pace race, but it was a lot of pace:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLx7w3RKLek

So what is Eastling gonna do tomorrow to reverse this trend? Something extraordinary! There is some pace in this race. River Thames can move. So can Owen Almighty...abit. What about Render Judgement in the Virginia Derby. They went 1:08 and 1:33! (Don't know about that track.) It appears to be a one turn mile and quarter!) Gonna say Render Judgement is a pace factor and will stand to be corrected!

Which brings me to the theme... Path and from off pace.

Did you know there is a horse in this race owned by the Stable that ran Bayakoa? (Remember the Go for Wand disaster?) A couple years later, the stable owner died when his 65 year old pilot was flying a new plane in bad weather. That pilot had a trove of hours in the old plane but he wasn't paying enough attention to detail on the fateful day.



Subject Written By Posted
East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (425 Views) T Severini 04/07/2025 09:30PM
Re: East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (241 Views) jbelfior 04/09/2025 09:01AM
Re: East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (239 Views) T Severini 04/09/2025 09:57AM
Re: East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (212 Views) johnnym 04/09/2025 01:44PM
Re: East Avenue and the Bluegrass... That was NOT the path projected! ...Ashland (222 Views) ajkreider 04/09/2025 05:04PM
Re: Blue Grass Blues (230 Views) jbelfior 04/09/2025 05:55PM
Re: Blue Grass Blues (224 Views) Silver Charm 04/09/2025 08:53PM


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