I've tried to bet by a principle once articulated by a DRF writer - the first invader to win the Derby will win at my expense. But I will be tempted to break that this year with this colt.

Looking forward to the probables figs, but this one checks some boxes. Won twice at 9F. Beat the Dubai 1 and 3 finishers one back. An American Pharoah out of More than Ready mare - breeding is good enough.

But mostly think he has the style to win. This year's edition of the Derby is chock full of runners that will come from well off the pace. This one won't lead them around but will be in the 2nd flight. Had a huge burst while wide all the way in the race that got him in here. Maybe needs clear air, but a wider draw puts him in the right spot. Will be a price.

Interested in thoughts of others, of course.