So I finally got the time to look at Ragozin's BC numbers, and decided not to do a complete point-by-point-- there are a few things I could pick on, but in general they got it about right, and I don't think anyone cares anyway. But there is one thing I would like to draw everyone's attention to, since it concerns a horse I mentioned in my "Common Sense" post before the BC. And again, it has nothing to do with how users of either product would have viewed the horse going in-- I'm sure we were all betting someone else in the race.

According to Ragozin, Nothing To Lose's eleventh (11th) place finish in the Mile earned him a big lifetime top. Yep, a much better figure than he earned when he blew the field out in the Shadwell Mile the time before. He got a very wide trip at the BC-- as he did at Keenland, when he beat a very strong field by 4 1/2 lengths, earning a figure 3 1/4 points better than the second horse, 5 or more better than anyone else in the race.

To put it another way-- according to Ragozin, in order for NTL to win the BC Mile, he would have had to run a 5 point new top. That's 8 lengths BETTER than when he blew out that field at Keenland, on Ragozin figures.

Anyone believe that?



TGJB