Re: Common Sense (480 Views)
Posted by:
beyerguy (IP Logged)
Date: November 11, 2004 12:55PM
I have to agree with CH, pace is sort of "baked in."
When Jerry calculates a variant based on all the horse's in the race previous figures, he invites this to happen. Its a good thing actually, not a knock.
If, for example, a race is run with a very fast pace, ALL the horses will have slower final time numbers than expected. Therefore, when looking at what the horses were expected to run, I would imagine it is much more likely to break the race free from the other races. The same exact thing happens if a race has a very slow pace, all the horses will again run slower final times.
Make sense?