Re: Consistency in the ROTW (487 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: November 14, 2004 02:54PM
Jim--
1-- You are redboarding, whether you had the winner or not. If you have a problem with our opinions, say so before the race.
2-- WE ARE NOT MAKING PICKS IN ROTW. Your paraphrase of my statement is probably close enough, and it doesn't contradict what I just said. This is a game of percentages-- if we say a horse is about 5/2 to win, and the public makes him even money, he is not a bet, and if they make him 4-1, he is, whatever the result. Obviously, ROTW gave Wegalia a good chance to win (maybe the best chance), so the position could be articulated as, strong contender, possibly most likely winner, but underlay at a short price. What's the problem?
3-- We do make picks, every day, and they can be examined the next day in the RBR for free. They include a minimum odds guidline for just the reasons found above. As you say, others in similar positions are not willing to put themselves on the record, and we have an overall body of work over the years several thousand times as large as the 13 race sampling you are referring too, aside from your misrepresentation of it as winning and losing, which can't be done except in conjunction with an odds board.
4-- The ROTW isn't about EITHER altruism or betting value, although in the long term it definitely has had a lot of the latter if you worked out an odds line based on it. (And by the way, we invite everyone to look at the American Oaks ROTW Jim refers to, and to decide whom we liked, see what the winner paid, and see how many weeks of "losers" that would pay for). ROTW is an attempt to educate people as to how to use the most powerful and complete handicapping tool on the market-- it's a free weekly mini-seminar that generally attracts around 5-600 viewers, depending on what race we choose.
5-- Jim, I don't get why you, and only you, keep going on about this. It's a free sample. You can use it or not, but either way we ain't getting a dime from you for it whether you win or lose. If you have something to say about the race itself or our opinion, say so before the fact. Resulting is a cheap shot, especially when you ain't paying for it.
TGJB