Re: Consistency in the ROTW (512 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: November 15, 2004 04:56PM
Jerry,
As I read your ROTW, I 100% believed that you felt the most likely winner was Built Up. So, yes, I thought you had Built Up at least the same odds of winning as Weigelia.
Obviously, this is open to interpretation, since you are not picking winners with the ROTW, but for me, Built Up had to win or at least run real well for you to be "right" this week.
When I read your 'somewhat vulnerable' comment on Weigelia and the fact that Built Up was the fastest T-Graph horse going in, plus his pattern was "pointing forward", he looked like the "play".
Forgetting about my interpretation for a second, what was your point in picking this race as the ROTW? You have said before you select a race to showcase a specific point or illustrate a specific pattern or in some cases because of a "bet against" angle on a false favorite. In this race, you thought the 4-5 favorite was the most likely winner but was only value at 5-2/3-1. I doubt you were thinking you would get 5-2/3-1 on Weigelia. So what was the point?