Jimbo,

I don't see anything in the analysis that would lead you to bet against Wegelia. There are A LOT of positive comments in the analysis about the winner. The main negative comments are related to the fact that the horse figured to be a short price (he was).

I also didn't see any ringing endorsements of anyone else in the race. It seems cut and dried to me, you could try to beat Wegelia or pass the race.

The whole point of using TG is to identify value. You don't need to spend $25 (or read analysis) to tell you that Wegelia had a shot in this race. The Daily News probably had at least three handicappers that picked him.

The exacta paid $25. If there were terrific opportunities here, I would agree with you that they blew it. As it stands, a short priced horse that TG believed "might be vulnerable off big efforts" ended up winning. The winners are welcome to their $3.80 (!). I will try to beat them every time.

My main beef with this ROTW would be that perhaps they could've found a more interesting race -- something where they could've showcased how you could get a big price on something using the data, even if it was an allowance or something not of "national interest." As a horse-by-horse review, it does have some value to show how someone can interpet the data...

HP