I thik it's going to be very difficult to find any value in this race.

1. Wilko won the BC in an upset, but many foreign runners do not duplicate their form second off the plane. He also may not be 100% given reports today.

2. Proud Accolade ran a disaapointing effort in the BC, and IMO he was not best in the Champagne. He got the jump on Afleet Alex in a moderate/slow paced race. IMO Afleet Alex was best that day. He's good on his best day, but what will he do here?

3. Declan's Moon is undefeated, but his reputation comes mostly from beating Roman Ruler in a very fast time when that one was considered the early leader of the division. Roman Ruler has since disappointed. Perhaps RR is just not as sharp as he was, but perhaps he was overrated to begin with. The Hollywood Prevue was a useful prep against mediocre horses (maiden graduates finished
2nd and 3rd). Probable sold favorite at post time. Derserves favoritism, but IMO not a bet at short odds. He's hyped a bit and this is 1st time 2 turns.

4. Bushwacker is actually sort of interesting in that he improved sharply 2nd time out and has since worked like he's ready for an even better effort. You have to sort of wonder if he's going to want this distance. At a sprint, I might have considered using him at a big price to pull off an upset.

5. Southern Africa and the rest are banking on some of the better horses putting in disappointing efforts (certainly not impossible) or a big move forward.

I see this as a race to watch and not to bet.