Re: ROTW (399 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: December 20, 2004 09:53PM
When you read the ROTW analysis, you can tell theres been a lot of time put into it. I can't imagine calling a race until the track conditions are ascertained, the scratches, jockey and weight changes determined and the post positions assigned. I have to admit, I've handicapped races the day before, selected my winners and then changed them and been burned race day. The reverse is closer to the rule though. (My race day alterations benefitting me.) You are asking a lot of the crew there to take all these factors as well as odds into consideration well before the race. From my perspective they already do this in the pay for product (altough the analysis is very light in that product) and you can review their selections in the Red Board. Personally, I don't think you can handicap a race that far in advance. I know I couldn't and win convincingly.
But I do like the ROTW. This week I felt TGraph orally made it the Futurity. And I have to say when I red boarded Giacomo, I was surprised to see paired 6's (I did not have as good a figure for the maiden win) though in my Fig Clock head I had him for about a TFig 6 in his prior. I also was a little off on DeClan's Moon I thought he was about TFIG 3's not 4's, so the bet TGJB discussed made even more sense in hindsight. Now I know he only cashed at 3-1 and only by the skin of a nose, (I'm not sure with some luck he couldn't have won however) but cashing is better than passing and it is far better than losing. Had I been privy to those figures, I may have bet and if I did I would have eliminated PA and put Giamcomo below the other two in perfectas. Now, thats serious Red Boarding...lol
Giacomo didn't pass underneath my radar, but he fooled me. He was better than I realized. Theres gonna be some money opportunities coming up here and you can't fail to take advantage of a horse like Giacomo when you're taking down the favorite with a proven Fig horse. I may have to buy some select race figures for the early three year old races, so "Giamcomo's" don't ruin my parade.
CtC
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