Re: Drug-busting (459 Views)
Date: February 26, 2005 04:56PM
I'd be willing to bet almost anything that the trainer change stats (or at least the horses form change) will be more impressive if you only look at those horses that went from a non-ST to a ST (clearly a favorable trainer change). One would suspect that going from one ST to another ST would not improve the horse.
I'd be willing to bet that trainer changes from a ST to a non-ST show that the horses tend to deteriorate.
The 1st time start stats could easily be influenced by stock.
I also think Jerry has the right idea when he says you can't just look at win percentages because some guys have better stock and spot their horses much better. You have to look for changes in the horses form.