I'm puzzled by your first sentence, Mall. Are you saying that we can only quote people who are alive? That would rule out Hank the Angry Dwarf, but it wouldn't rule out Treadhead. Forgive me for thinking we can do better than that.

To answer your question: "Value Handicapping"

Sample of 1000 class droppers: 68 percent increased their Beyer figure significantly on the drop. "Taking all droppers, including those 29 percent whose Beyer figures decreased, the average improvement in Beyer fig on the class drop was an impressive 7 points!"

Class risers: Their figure decreases by an average of four points.