Re: Note the date (339 Views)
Posted by:
mbeychok (IP Logged)
Date: March 06, 2005 01:39PM
If the horse wasn't 100% he was very close. Ellis might be the best at SA in getting top efforts from horses coming off a short layoff and going long. In fact, he won a race later in the day off a layoff. I don't know how long that one was but the horse won easily. He wins at about a 40% clip with 1st off layoff going long at SA so he gets his horses cranked up first out of the box. That being said, do you really think he would change his training methods in mid-career for just one horse. I say no. You do what you've always done with success and that is crank 'em up on their first outing. We may have seen Declan's best yesterday - statistics say we did. I can't wait to bet against him at some point - just don't know whether it will be at the SA derby or in the KY derby but he won't improve much from this point on. If he was only 95% and he improves to 100% in his next start - what number will he run then if he ran a 2 yesterday - a 1.90?
Michael
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