watched the replays....

high fly could be short. he is a pounder. he takes too many strides. that said, i think the horse does have a big heart, and he is able to make his own pace, a huge advantage. i would also like this horse running over a sloppy track. i will keep my 32-1, but would avoid him at low odds in the next futures pool. bandini will be over hyped. he wasn't finishing strong. somebody gave his "re-rally" as evidence of pletcher's drug use. he ran the last eighth rather slow, just a little faster than high fly

declan was wider than i though around that first turn. other than that, he got a perfect trip. he was facing three average colts, two of them stopped like they were supposed to, and the other broke down. if he gets bounced around in a big field and loses position, i'm not sure he will have the energy at the end to make up the difference (especially in a 9f or 10f race). the horse is extremely quick though, and he does have a huge stride. if he continues to break and settled like he did yesterday, i'm not sure there is another colt out there that can beat him. will be interesting to see his #. 1:42.4 seems a bit slow over that surface, but the horse did lose a lot of ground.

i can see the enthusiasm in trying to beat both of these horses, but i don't see any budding superstar 10f colts out there. could it be that the 2005 derby winner hasn't even run in a stakes race yet?



Post Edited (03-06-05 17:10)