Re: Five Weeks Rest (412 Views)
Posted by:
HP (IP Logged)
Date: April 04, 2005 12:16PM
I can't think of ONE horse that's run well off this much rest in the Derby. I'll stick to my guns. At 4-1, let him prove me wrong. At 8-1 it might be another story...
"The fractions of the Florida Derby were signficantly faster than the 2 other routes that day that ended in a similar final time."
"So when we say he is better than he looks on paper, what we mean is that had he run slightly slower fractions, he would have run a faster final time and beaten those horses by more."
Who's "we?" Stand on your own two feet, please. You just have no way of knowing this is true. No way! Think about what you're saying. He could've run a "faster final time" by running "slightly slower fractions?" How could he do that? The more I get into this with you the more I realize that you just don't know what you're talking about.
If he would've run slightly slower fractions, he would've had more work to do in the stretch to catch up, PERIOD. Somewhere in here, you probably mean to say something about how the ACTUAL pacesetters ran (i.e., if they had run slower early), but I DON'T HAVE THE REST OF MY LIFE TO FIGURE THIS OUT.
This will do it for posting for awhile. Enjoy!
Davidrex, OF COURSE pace makes the race. There is no insight whatsoever into this phenomenon in any of CH's posts. Do YOU believe horse's can run FASTER final times by running SLOWER fractions? Come on. It's totally ridiculous.
HP