Re: ARKANSAS DERBY (355 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 16, 2005 01:02PM
AA is gonna run better...they are scopeing him all along here.
Greater Good is entirely underrated.
Flower Alley looks dead game to me.
Wild Desert deserves respect.
Rush Bay has been right there.
I can't consider any of the others seriously, but Canteen has to be considered on Drysdale and the speed factor I guess. But I'm not overly optimistic.
Greater Good just keeps knocking them off so I'm leaning towards him, but Flower Alley really seems to have a resevoir so he has to be factored too. I think the likely winners are in order:
Greater Good 33%
Afleet Alex 25%
Flower Alley 20%
Wild Desert 12%
Rush Bay 10%
My guess is I may get acceptable (break even) odds on Greater Good and the Closers. There isn't an abundance of speed so Afleet may be able to finish better than he would otherwise without being 100%. Assuming he isnt 100%, I really have no idea.
I'm really all over the morning line chalk so whats the point?
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