Re: Taken Back (407 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 18, 2005 08:07PM
I had very questionable pace numbers on Consolidator and commented that he was slower than many thought. I thought off pace would have an edge in the Bluegrass however and didn't hold his projected pace against him. I didn't foresee getting behind possibly discouraging him and at any rate he didnt run a lick. I do think a carrying bias had something to do with that, but I also think it likely that Consolidator just ran into faster horses Saturday than he was used to facing.
I believe Lukas was genuinely surprised by the effort. I've concluded Lukas did not send this horse out for a race day work. Now, to my mind theres little doubt that Lukas will send him on May 7th. How close he can get to the front runners is another matter.
The times Lukas won the Derby or has run very competitively hes come in off wins to my knowledge. This time his horse ran very poorly. I do believe he has to be respected, but the pace looks severe to my eye. If Going Wild gets in, Katy bar the door.
Post Edited (04-18-05 20:11)