Kasept wrote:

> CtC,
>
> "I believe Lukas was genuinely surprised by the effort."
>
> That's not surprising.. Someone from the barn probably had to
> show him which horse Consolidator was..
>
>
>
> "The times Lukas won the Derby or has run very competitively
> hes come in off wins to my knowledge."
>
> It's more of a mixed bag. Thunder Gulch was a dull 4th in the
> Blue Grass.

I knew Thunder missed the Bluegrass winners circle. It was a "right there" fourth is my recollection.

>Even if Timber Country had won, he was >coming off a
> 4th to Larry the Legend in the SA Derby..

I forgot that one too. How close?

> Grindstone 2nd in the AK Derby to Zarb's Magic.

I thought Grindstone won the Ark. Bad memory. He was right there vs.Zarb wasnt he?

> Charismatic won the Lex though, Proud Citizen too, and Winning
> Colors the SA Derby..

"His Derby winners have not tossed a clunker in their last prep." I was wrong about Grindstone, but thats what I should have stated.

This time, its a bona fide clunker and the question is do you respect Lukas so much you work this horse into your combinations. I don't think he can win. Theres too much speed for that. The track will have alot to say about the betting strategy.

MO, I've never been a big supporter of your buzzer theory, but after reaching the shenanigans conclusion that I have reaced this year with doping and secret vet visits, I am much less skeptical.

I dont have a number for Wilcos Santa Anita Derby yet and he did look hangy at the end, but I also believe with a nice appearance at Churchill Downs he is positioned to move forward. Whether that will be good enough is another issue.



Post Edited (04-19-05 11:08)