Re: Taken Back (425 Views)
Posted by:
MO (IP Logged)
Date: April 19, 2005 10:36AM
Well, its Derby time and once again I must remind you all that at best Thunder Gulch gets a big fat asterik - as his rider was equipped with and used a buzzer.
Now I am still a believer in the dual qualifyer system. There were a few horses over the last few years who were not dual qualifiers, but last years exacta had two dual qualifyers !! They also had the best TG figs.
What I see this year is: Bellamy Road (not a dual qualifyer) bouncing big time, like a Zito horse will often do.
Afleet Alex is a dual qualifyer, but also looks like a bounce candidate for a juice trainer.
Bandini is not a dual qualifyer and may have peaked in BG. Of all the non qualifyers though, he has my interest as his pattern has gradual increases and not big jumps.
Consolidator is a dual qualifyer but is inconsistant and has only one race that is fast. If Stevens had the mount in the Derby, then I wouldn't toss him (if you know what I mean).
Sun King - is another dual qualifyer but looks to me like another Zito flash in the pan.
High Fly is not a dual qualifyer and niether is Giants Causway. I am more interested in GC down the road like the Belmont.
Wilko and Giacomo are dual qualifyers and are being overlooked as their races so far are not very fast. I'll be looking at these two (more at Wilko) a little more closely since they will be a price and may just have saved the best for the Derby. Maybe a BC Juvinile winner can get off the schnied and finally win the Derby. Looking forward to seeing the sheets on this race.