Greetings folks, first time post here

Contrary to his name, High Fly seems to be flying under the radar 15 days out, and this is despite Zito and Bailey winning the derby multiple times each. Maybe the tough draw in the Holy Bull was a blessing; "undefeated" might draw a lot more attention, especially after last year.

With his natural speed and proven ability to relax, I don't see why he cant sit the nice trip here. Maybe not as nice as sitting off BB Best but still most likely a better trip than the other fast ones except maybe the other stalker Bandini, so everything is relative. Obviously the PP draw is a factor but we dont have that info yet.

Maybe Bellamy Road clears early and jogs off but I imagine most of us agree he'll be challenged most of the way; any question it will be tougher for him than being chased by a short Scrappy T? Same goes for High Limit, but at least some possible value there.

What's the under/over for the # of paths wide that Afleet Alex will be leaving the 2nd turn? 7? 8? Anyone counting on Rose finding a hole? or even looking/waiting for one? good luck, and demand a price.

Assuming he'll be 4th or 5th choice in the 8-1 to 10-1 range, High Fly looks to me to be the key to wagering on this race even though a few others have run faster. What are the chances that 3 or 2 or even 1 of the others can all repeat their best #s and get favorable trips? High Fly does not appear to be the most likely winner but he does appear to be the most likely to run close to his top and get the non-harmful trip.

Although the Zito Florida to Kentucky ship is accepted by many as a potential jump up move, I wouldn't expect a forward move here (of course it's possible and would be nice). Hey, I'll be happy with 2nd here, it's not like I'm getting invited to the winners circle anyway. I can't toss freaky Bellamy Road with any confidence but too many questions (at 6-5?) to key.

Maybe I'm delusional, but it looked like High Fly was effortlessly cruising around the track in the Fla Derby and was being handridden until mid-stretch and then responded instantly when urged. Struggled? I'm not sure this horse has struggled enough to be ready for the big one...

a note to High Limit fans; the Bluegrass should be no reason to give up on this horse. Frankel was playing around, I'm sure he knows more than us that getting a horse ready with only 3 weeks off a top is not a strong point for him. He wants the derby. Any stats on Frankel plus blinks?