Re: Ground Loss (343 Views)
Date: April 26, 2005 01:27PM
Jimbo,
If you think the final times of individual horses are not influenced by things like the pace of the race, position, bias, and individual characteristics like acceleration, stamina, preference for running inside or outside horses etc... then ground loss is a purely mathematical calculation.
I think Beyer argues that not all "ground loss is equal".
The most obvious issue is bias.
I believe he also thinks you have to evaluate how hard the horse was working on the turn when wide to keep or improve his position.
He also thinks that the same horses tend to always lose ground because of running style. Some actually prefer being outside etc...
So he prefers to have a pure speed figure with ground loss and other trip notes as a seperate subjective item to evaluate on an individual basis.
At least that's my understanding of what he has said.
Post Edited (04-26-05 13:36)
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