Bobby Frankel is a man who has used speed figures for many years. Whether you like him or not, everyone must agree he has used the sheets successfully. More successfully, I would venture to say, than anyone reading this post. He believes that the Derby may be more wide-open than most. Mr. Frankel feels that the probable favorites for the Derby may be ready to bounce.

The "bounce" is, as far as I can see, the Swiss Army Knife of excuses. A horse could run a big number and break a leg after stepping in a hole in his next start. Some would still attribute the losing effort to the bounce. If a horse wins after a big effort, his subsequent win would be viewed as obvious (after all he ran a big top). If he loses, he bounced after his top. Right?

I have read on this site that its a 50/50 proposition that each of the big top favorites may bounce. If this is the case, wouldn't it make sense to select a horse with a lesser number who is moving in the right direction and will be a price? Who do you think fits this paradigm?



Post Edited (04-30-05 19:45)