Re: The Frankel Forecast (321 Views)
Posted by:
albany (IP Logged)
Date: April 30, 2005 08:11PM
TGJB:
I certainly didn't mean to disparage your accomplishments when I drafted my post. I simply didn't know that Frankel has only a "rudimentary idea" on how to use the sheets. Imagine how successful he could become if he develops real expertise.
I look forward to your analysis of who is most likely not to bounce in the Derby. I have come to appreciate your insights into the game. Nevertheless, I would respectfully submit that a low price horse who has, on an unrefined statistical basis, a 50/50 chance to regress is not a good bet. While recognizing that 3-4 of the lowest price horses in the race could prove me wrong, I will be looking elsewhere for value. That is not to say, however, that any success I may have may be attributed to using value plays underneath one or more of the horses you happen to select.
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